Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Chichester City		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.40
	2.52	3.3	2.38
	2.66	3.33	2.41
	2.7	3.44	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.35
	2.61	3.24	2.38
	2.55	3.4	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.14)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	2.4 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
34.8%

Draw
27.5%

Havant & Waterlooville
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chichester City's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chichester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bello I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
70', 1 - 1, Riley-Snow B. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Lawrence J. ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Pattenden L. ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, Whittingham A. ⚽,

Preview

Chichester is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Havant's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Chichester has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chichester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Chichester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chichester	9	4	1	4	14:16	-2	13
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Chichester City - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Southern League South Division
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Evesham United - Chichester City	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Wimborne Town - Chichester City	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bognor Regis Town - Chichester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
29.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Salisbury - Havant & Waterlooville	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.25	Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1

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