The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chieti 58.9%
Draw 24.9%
Matese 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
25.8%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
22.9%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chieti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Chieti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Matese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Matese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chieti is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Chieti won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Chieti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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