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Current Win Probability
Chieti 39.4%
Draw 30.7%
Tolentino 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
27.6%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Chieti - Tolentino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).
Recent matches Chieti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tolentino is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tolentino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Chieti won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Chieti won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.