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Current Win Probability
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama 30.8%
Draw 27.5%
Albirex Niigata 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
27.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
26.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chifure AS Elfen Saitama's form might have worsened.
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albirex Niigata's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chifure AS Elfen Saitama than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chifure AS Elfen Saitama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Seno Y. ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - WE League Cup Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfen Saitama won 0.
Elfen Saitama has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Albirex Niigata has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Elfen Saitama has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:25 (averaging 0.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elfen Saitama against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 3:10 goals (averaging 0.6:2 per game).
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