Match Info

WE League Cup Women - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	2.61	3.22	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 (2.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama
35%

Draw
28.6%

JEF United Chiba
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chifure AS Elfen Saitama than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Takahashi H. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Inoue A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 1, Takahashi H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - WE League Cup Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - WE League Cup Women Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfen Saitama won 2.

Elfen Saitama is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

JEF United is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Elfen Saitama has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:17 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elfen Saitama against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	JEF United W	6	4	0	1	13:8	5	14
3	Saitama W	5	2	0	1	9:6	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

JEF United Chiba - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama
Japan WE League Cup Women
27.09.26	MyNavi Sendai - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - NTV Beleza	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	2:3 ✺
Japan WE League Women
05.09.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWT
- JEF United Chiba Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
27.09.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ✺
Japan WE League Women
05.09.26	JEF United Chiba - MyNavi Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Women
20.12.25	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba	0:1
27.09.25	JEF United Chiba - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	2:1
29.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	0:1
Japan WE League Cup Women
06.11.24	JEF United Chiba - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:1
Japan WE League Women
14.10.24	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba	2:0
Japan WE League Cup Women
31.08.24	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba	1:3
Japan WE League Women
25.05.24	JEF United Chiba - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:0

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide