Match Info

World Cup U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
World	FIFA+


	Chile U20		Mexico U20

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.73
				Watch
	4.7	3.55	1.7
	4.76	3.68	1.76
	3.51	3.27	2.14	Watch
	5.14	3.39	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	1.82 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chile U20
20.5%

Draw
27.5%

Mexico U20
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chile U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chile U20's form might have worsened.

Mexico U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mexico U20's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

Chile U20 - Mexico U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chile U20 will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mexico U20 will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico U20 (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mexico U20 (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico U20 (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mella S. (G) Huachipato 20. Faundez F. O Higgins 2. Garguez Gomez I. A. Palestino 5. Suarez N. Colo Colo 4. Romero P. Cobreloa 3. Celis M. U. Espanola 10. Arce A. Limache 11. Alvarez V. San Felipe 6. Carcamo J. Huachipato 14. Millan L. Independiente 9. Rossel J. (C) U. Catolica	1. Ochoa E. (G) Cruz Azul 3. Pachuca Martinez J. R. Puebla 4. Ochoa D. Juarez 2. del Villar E. Toluca 7. Dominguez A. Pachuca 18. Vargas O. Seattle Sounders 8. Montiel E. (C) Pachuca 17. Sanchez Guevara D. A. Tigres UANL 5. Fimbres I. Monterrey 21. Jimenez T. Santos Laguna 11. Mora G. Club Tijuana
Substitutes
19. Chatiliez W. Huesca 18. Godoy R. O Higgins 7. Marchant F. Colo Colo 21. Maureira G. (G) 8. Moya F. U. De Chile 12. Saez I. (G) U. De Chile 16. Sandoval M. A. Italiano 15. Silva J. S. Wanderers	15. Bustos C. Monterrey 20. Camberos H. Guadalajara Chivas 6. Garza C. Dundee FC 12. Lara P. (G) UNAM Pumas 13. Liceaga J. (G) 14. Morales A. Cruz Azul 10. Padilla Y. Guadalajara Chivas 16. Velazquez K. Cruz Azul 9. Virgen O. Toluca
Coaches
Cordova N.	Arce E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Jimenez T. ⚽, Mora G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Dominguez A. 🟨,
60', Montiel E. 🟨,
63', Alvarez V. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
63', Carcamo J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Fimbres I. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
78', Dominguez A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
78', Mora G. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
78', Jimenez T. ↓, Virgen O. ↑,
79', Romero P. ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Camberos H. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
82', del Villar E. ↓, Bustos C. ↑,
86', 0 - 4, Camberos H. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
86', Camberos H. 🟨,
88', Ochoa D. ↓, Velazquez K. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Rossel J. ⚽, Millan L. (A),
89', Morales A. 🟨,
90+1', Faundez F. 🟨,

Preview

Mexico U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mexico U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chile U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chile U20
FIFA World Cup U20
03.10.25	Egypt U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Chile U20 - Japan U20	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Chile U20 - New Zealand U20	2:1 ✺
COTIF Tournament
27.07.25	Venezuela U20 - Chile U20	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Chile U20 - Valencia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT
- Mexico U20
FIFA World Cup U20
04.10.25	Mexico U20 - Morocco U20	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Spain U20 - Mexico U20	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Brazil U20 - Mexico U20	2:2 ✺
Maurice Revello Tournament
15.06.25	Mexico U20 - Denmark U20	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	France U20 - Mexico U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.10.12	Chile U20 - Mexico U20	3:2

Chile U20 - Mexico U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide