Match Info

Copa América Women - Round 5

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports, TVN
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Israel	Sport 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV4
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, TV Ciudad
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Chile W		Uruguay W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.18	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3.24
	2.20	3.09	3.44	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.22	3.1	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.87)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	3.13 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chile W
41.4%

Draw
29.4%

Uruguay W
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chile W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chile W's form might have worsened.

Uruguay W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chile W than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chile W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay W than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uruguay W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chile W - Uruguay W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canales A. (G) Valencia 22. Balmaceda R. Colo Colo 3. Ramirez F. U. Catolica 18. Saez C. West Ham 17. Pinilla F. Club Leon 6. Jimenez Y. Colo Colo 7. Acuna Y. Colo Colo 8. Araya K. (C) Madrid CFF 10. Aedo Y. Colo Colo 9. Keefe S. Logrono Dux 21. Valencia M. Colo Colo	12. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Felipe C. Newells Old Boys 7. Tregartten S. 9. Gonzalez P. (C) Sevilla 16. Yannel Alhama 2. Lacoste S. 21. Viera J. 8. Velazco X. Logrono Dux 11. Pizarro E. Eibar 10. Aquino B. Internacional 19. Carballo W. Bahia
Substitutes
2. Acevedo M. Colo Colo 20. Alvarez A. Colo Colo 23. Borquez Vargas G. F. (G) U. De Chile 19. Cabezas P. U. Catolica 16. Caniguan F. U. De Chile 4. Figueroa C. U. Catolica 11. Lopez Y. Colo Colo 14. Pardo V. U. Catolica 15. Pino G. U. De Chile 13. Salfate C. Coquimbo 12. Torrero R. (G) Colo Colo	15. Barone F. Platense 14. Bonilla A. 23. Dornelles Y. 3. Farias D. 5. Fitipaldi M. 20. Gomez A. Bahia 17. Gonzalez P. 22. Guedes I. 18. Latua A. 13. Olivera S. (G) UAI Urquiza 1. Olmedo R. (G) 6. Ramirez S. Racing Club

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Felipe C. 🟨,
12', Saez C. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Gonzalez P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Acuna Y. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
58', Aquino B. ↓, Bonilla A. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Carballo W. ⚽, Pizarro E. (A),
68', Viera J. ↓, Dornelles Y. ↑,
72', Aedo Y. ↓, Cabezas P. ↑,
72', Balmaceda R. ↓, Pardo V. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Carballo W. ⚽, Bonilla A. (A),
77', Carballo W. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
77', Felipe C. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
78', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
87', Valencia M. ↓, Salfate C. ↑,
88', Tregartten S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chile won 3.

Chile is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Uruguay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Uruguay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chile won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chile W
Copa America Women
21.07.25	Chile W - Ecuador W	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Argentina W - Chile W	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Peru W - Chile W	0:3 ✺
Friendly International Women
03.07.25	Chile W - Bolivia W	5:0 ✺
01.06.25	Catalonia Selection W - Chile W	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLWWW
- Uruguay W
Copa America Women
18.07.25	Uruguay W - Peru W	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Uruguay W - Argentina W	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Ecuador W - Uruguay W	2:2 ✺
Friendly International Women
03.06.25	Mexico W - Uruguay W	1:0 ✺
30.05.25	Mexico W - Uruguay W	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
03.12.24	Chile W - Uruguay W	0:1
30.11.24	Chile W - Uruguay W	1:0
17.09.21	Chile W - Uruguay W	2:2
15.09.21	Chile W - Uruguay W	1:0
08.10.19	Chile W - Uruguay W	3:1
06.10.19	Chile W - Uruguay W	3:0
Copa America Women
10.04.18	Chile W - Uruguay W	1:0

Chile W - Uruguay W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide