Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Longxing Football Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand


	China		New Zealand

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.40	3.20	2.15
	3.20	3.25	2.12	Watch
	3.76	3.34	2.14
	3.51	3.34	2.08
	3.65	3.25	2.01
	3.53	3.43	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.65)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	2.11 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
27.1%

Draw
28.5%

New Zealand
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that China's form might have worsened.

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Zealand's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

China - New Zealand Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 1 - 25%). New Zealand will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.20) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) Shanghai Port 24. Zhang A. Zhejiang Professional 2. Browning Tyias Shanghai Port 5. Wei Zhen Shanghai Port 19. Liu Yang Shandong Taishan 7. Xie Wenneng Shandong Taishan 14. Huang Jiahui Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 6. Wang Shangyuan Henan Songshan Longmen 29. Chen Pu Shandong Taishan 10. Wei Shihao (C) Chengdu Rongcheng 9. Wang Ziming Chengdu Rongcheng	1. Paulsen A. (G) Motherwell 2. Elliot C. Auckland FC 19. Old B. St Etienne 15. Tuiloma B. Wellington Phoenix 4. Bindon T. Charlton 8. Stamenic M. (C) Swansea 7. Rogerson L. Auckland FC 18. Waine B. Port Vale 20. McCowatt C. Aarhus 11. Just E. Swansea 21. Randall J. Dundee Utd
Substitutes
17. Abdusalam Bunyamin Yunnan Yukun 22. Cheng Jin Zhejiang Professional 11. Dai Wai-Tsun Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26. Du Yuezheng Chongqing Tonglianglong 8. Gao Tianyi Shanghai Shenhua 4. Gao Zhunyi Shandong Taishan 18. Han Pengfei Chengdu Rongcheng 13. Huang Shenghao Guangdong GZ-Power 12. Liu Dianzuo (G) Chengdu Rongcheng 21. Li Y. Chengdu Rongcheng 20. Tao Qianglong Zhejiang Professional 3. Wang Gengrui Qingdao West Coast 25. Yang Mingrui Dalian Yingbo 15. Yang Ming-Yang Chengdu Rongcheng 23. Zhong Yihao Henan Songshan Longmen	6. Bayliss L. Auckland FC 24. Dyer M. Phnom Penh Crown 22. Gray H. (G) Wellington Phoenix 17. Ingham D. Sabah 23. Parker-Price O. Orgryte 14. Rufer A. Wellington Phoenix 16. Stanger G. Kilmarnock 3. Sutton S. Perth Glory 10. Ukich S. Istra 1961 13. Wilkins D. Sonderjyske 12. Woud M. (G) Auckland FC
Coaches
Shao Jiayi	Bazeley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Bindon T. ⚽, McCowatt C. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Waine B. ⚽, Just E. (A),
33', Just E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chen Pu ↓, Tao Qianglong ↑,
46', Zhang A. ↓, Huang Shenghao ↑,
46', Huang Jiahui ↓, Abdusalam Bunyamin ↑,
46', Tuiloma B. ↓, Stanger G. ↑,
49', McCowatt C. ↓, Rufer A. ↑,
62', Wang Shangyuan ↓, Cheng Jin ↑,
62', Wei Zhen ↓, Han Pengfei ↑,
62', Xie Wenneng ↓, Yang Ming-Yang ↑,
65', Old B. ↓, Wilkins D. ↑,
65', Randall J. ↓, Sutton S. ↑,
67', Liu Yang ↓, Wang Gengrui ↑,
69', Waine B. ↓, Dyer M. ↑,
79', Elliot C. ↓, Ingham D. ↑,
79', Rogerson L. ↓, Ukich S. ↑,
79', Just E. ↓, Parker-Price O. ↑,
80', Wei Shihao ↓, Gao Tianyi ↑,
80', Wang Ziming ↓, Dai Wai-Tsun ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Parker-Price O. ⚽,

Preview

China is ranked FIFA: 91., and New Zealand is ranked FIFA: 86..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, China has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China
Friendly
24.09.26	China - Maldives	3:0 ✺
09.06.26	China - Thailand	0:0 ✺
05.06.26	Singapore - China	1:2 ✺
FIFA Series
31.03.26	China - Cameroon	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	China - Curaçao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLW
- New Zealand
Friendly
24.09.26	Palestine - New Zealand	2:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
26.06.26	New Zealand - Belgium	1:5 ✺
21.06.26	New Zealand - Egypt	1:3 ✺
15.06.26	Iran - New Zealand	2:2 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	England - New Zealand	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
25.03.23	New Zealand - China	2:1
23.03.23	New Zealand - China	0:0
14.11.14	China - New Zealand	1:1
14.11.12	China - New Zealand	1:1

China - New Zealand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide