Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)


	China U23		Thailand U23

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.25	3.00
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.06	3.05	3.25
	2.31	2.97	3.49
	1.93	3.34	3.95	Watch
	2.25	2.90	3.40
	2.19	3.40	3.14
	2.17	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.09 ↓ (3.38)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China U23
42.8%

Draw
29.7%

Thailand U23
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Thailand U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

China U23 - Thailand U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. China U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Li H. (G) Qingdao West Coast 2. Hu H. Chengdu Rongcheng 11. Kuai Jiwen Shanghai Port 3. Liu Haofan Zhejiang Professional 14. Maimaiti Y. 22. Mao W. Dalian Yingbo 21. Peng Xiao Shandong Taishan 15. Wu Xi (C) Shanghai Shenhua 7. Xiang Yuwang Chongqing Tonglianglong 23. Yang A. Shanghai Port 5. Zhu Chenjie Shanghai Shenhua	23. Boonloet C. (G) Uthai Thani 6. Boonlha S. Port MTI FC 4. Buaphan C. (C) Pathum United 9. Burapha Y. Chonburi 10. Chotmuangpak T. Buriram United F.C. 14. Mamah J. Prachuap 21. Maneekorn P. Prachuap 18. Phothep P. Rayong FC 12. Sangtong A. Nakhon Pathom 2. Tamma C. Pathum United 19. Wongsa P. Rasisalai United
Substitutes
19. Abduweli Behram Chengdu Rongcheng 18. Chen Zeshi Shandong Taishan 17. He Yiran Chengdu Rongcheng 8. Li X. Shanghai Port 4. Shi Songchen Shandong Taishan 10. Wang Y. Zhejiang Professional 6. Xu Bin Wolves 20. Yang Haoyu Shanghai Shenhua 12. Yao Haoyang (G) Chongqing Tonglianglong 13. Yimingkari M. Chengdu Rongcheng 1. Yu Jinyong (G) Shandong Taishan 9. Zhang Yuning Beijing Guoan	5. Chansri T. Muang Thong Utd 8. Chawanwit S. 22. Inaram W. Bangkok Utd 13. James N. Mahasarakham 17. Noisri W. Chiangmai United 7. Phochai T. SC Sagamihara 15. Seangsawat K. Muang Thong Utd 16. Sienkrthok P. Ayutthaya United 1. Sorawat P. (G) Pattani 3. Thiangkham O. Prachuap 11. Wandee S. Narathiwat FC 20. Wongruankhum S. (G) Chiangrai Utd

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Maneekorn P. 🟨,
26', Wongsa P. 🟨,
40', Kuai Jiwen 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Sangtong A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Hu H. ⚽,
49', Maimaiti Y. 🟨,
51', Mamah J. 🟨,
57', Mamah J. ↓, Seangsawat K. ↑,
58', Kuai Jiwen ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽,
64', Wongsa P. ↓, Chawanwit S. ↑,
71', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Li X. ↑,
71', Maimaiti Y. ↓, Xu Bin ↑,
78', Wu Xi ↓, Chen Zeshi ↑,
79', Mao W. ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
85', Tamma C. 🟨,

Preview

China U23 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, China U23 has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China U23
Asian Games Football
23.09.26	China U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Iran U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	2:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	China U23 - Tajikistan U23	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	China U23 - Tajikistan U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWW
- Thailand U23
Asian Games Football
23.09.26	Japan U23 - Thailand U23	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Hong Kong U23 - Thailand U23	1:5 ✺
16.09.26	Thailand U23 - Kyrgyzstan U23	3:2 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Thailand U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	2:5 ✺
06.06.26	Thailand U23 - South Korea U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
25.03.26	China U23 - Thailand U23	2:2
AFC Asian Cup U23
14.01.26	Thailand U23 - China U23	0:0
Friendly
14.10.25	China U23 - Thailand U23	0:0
26.03.22	China U23 - Thailand U23	4:2
Asian Games Football
25.09.14	Thailand U23 - China U23	2:0

China U23 - Thailand U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide