Match Info

Asian Games - Round 3

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	TBS
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live
Singapore	meWATCH
Thailand	AIS PLAY, Thairath TV


	Japan U23		Thailand U23

	1	X	2
	1.08	9	21
	1.06	11.00	20.00
	1.09	5.7	32
	1.09	9.4	16.58
	1.11	8.8	19	Watch
	1.07	8.15	16
	1.04	9.3	18.5
	1.07	7.8	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.36)	8.64 ↑ (4.4)	20.14 ↑ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U23
84.9%

Draw
10.6%

Thailand U23
4.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan U23's performance.

Thailand U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thailand U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Japan U23 - Thailand U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Japan U23 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pisano A. (G) Nagoya Grampus 13. Furuya S. Tokyo International University 5. Ichihara R. (C) AZ Alkmaar 20. Ishibashi S. Shonan Bellmare 10. Ishii H. Shonan Bellmare 3. Kosugi K. Eintracht Frankfurt 9. Michiwaki Y. Iwaki 15. Mori S. Okayama 17. Nakajima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4. Tsuchiya K. Fukushima United 8. Yasuda K. V-Varen Nagasaki	23. Boonloet C. (G) Uthai Thani 13. James N. Mahasarakham 14. Mamah J. Prachuap 17. Noisri W. Chiangmai United 18. Phothep P. (C) Rayong FC 12. Sangtong A. Nakhon Pathom 15. Seangsawat K. Muang Thong Utd 2. Tamma C. Pathum United 3. Thiangkham O. Prachuap 11. Wandee S. Narathiwat FC 19. Wongsa P. Rasisalai United
Substitutes
23. Araki R. (G) Gamba Osaka 16. Fukunaga Y. Kyoto Sangyo 7. Ishiwatari N. St. Truiden 12. Kobayashi M. (G) Matsumoto Yamaga 6. Nagano S. FC Tokyo 19. Nwadik B. Aalborg 22. Okabe H. Toyo University 14. Ozeki Y. Kawasaki Frontale 21. Sato M. Albirex Niigata 18. Shimamoto Y. Shimizu S-Pulse 2. Umeki R. Imabari 11. Yokoyama Y. Cerezo Osaka	6. Boonlha S. Port MTI FC 4. Buaphan C. Pathum United 9. Burapha Y. Chonburi 5. Chansri T. Muang Thong Utd 8. Chawanwit S. 10. Chotmuangpak T. Buriram United F.C. 22. Inaram W. Bangkok Utd 21. Maneekorn P. Prachuap 7. Phochai T. SC Sagamihara 16. Sienkrthok P. Ayutthaya United 1. Sorawat P. (G) Pattani 20. Wongruankhum S. (G) Chiangrai Utd

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Nakajima Y. ⚽, Ishibashi S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Kosugi K. ⚽,
48', 3 - 0, Ishii H. ⚽, Ishibashi S. (A),
55', Ishii H. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
60', Seangsawat K. ↓, Phochai T. ↑,
65', Ichihara R. ↓, Okabe H. ↑,
65', Nakajima Y. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
71', Mamah J. ↓, Chawanwit S. ↑,

Preview

Japan U23 is Qualified for Asian Games (Play Offs ).

Thailand U23 is Qualified for Asian Games (Play Offs ).

The betting markets point to Japan U23 as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Japan U23 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U23
Asian Games Football
20.09.26	Kyrgyzstan U23 - Japan U23	0:7 ✺
16.09.26	Japan U23 - Hong Kong U23	2:0 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
24.01.26	China U23 - Japan U23	0:4 ✺
20.01.26	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Japan U23 - Jordan U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Thailand U23
Asian Games Football
20.09.26	Hong Kong U23 - Thailand U23	1:5 ✺
16.09.26	Thailand U23 - Kyrgyzstan U23	3:2 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Thailand U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	2:5 ✺
06.06.26	Thailand U23 - South Korea U23	2:3 ✺
31.03.26	North Korea U23 - Thailand U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
13.01.18	Thailand U23 - Japan U23	0:1
16.01.16	Thailand U23 - Japan U23	0:4

Japan U23 - Thailand U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide