Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploieşti)

Referee: Chivulete A. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Chindia Târgoviște		Argeș Pitești

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.8	Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.8	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.9
	2.08	2.95	3.65
	2.13	2.91	4.31
	2.05	2.75	4
	2.1	2.94	4.15	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	3.93 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chindia Târgoviște
44.4%

Draw
31.9%

Argeș Pitești
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chindia Târgoviște has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Argeș Pitești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argeș Pitești might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chindia Târgoviște than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argeș Pitești than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argeș Pitești could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	44%	16%

Chindia Târgoviște - Argeș Pitești Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Chindia Târgoviște will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Argeș will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chindia Târgoviște won 1.

Chindia Târgoviște is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Argeș Pitești is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chindia Târgoviște could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chindia Târgoviște have a series of home games.

Chindia Târgoviște will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chindia Târgoviște won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chindia Târgoviște won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chindia Târgoviște
Club Friendly
13.01.23	Chindia Târgoviște - Chemnitzer	0:1 ✺
10.01.23	Chindia Târgoviște - Zira	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	Chindia Târgoviște - Aarau	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
17.12.22	Universitatea Craiova - Chindia Târgoviște	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Chindia Târgoviște - FCSB	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Argeș Pitești
Club Friendly
10.01.23	Farul Constanța - Argeș Pitești	4:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
18.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Mioveni	2:2 ✺
12.12.22	U Craiova 1948 - Argeș Pitești	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
07.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
04.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Rapid Bucureşti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup
09.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Argeș Pitești	1:1
Romanian SuperLiga
28.08.22	Argeș Pitești - Chindia Târgoviște	2:1
09.02.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Argeș Pitești	1:1
25.09.21	Argeș Pitești - Chindia Târgoviște	0:0
21.04.21	Argeș Pitești - Chindia Târgoviște	0:1
09.04.21	Argeș Pitești - Chindia Târgoviște	3:1
19.12.20	Chindia Târgoviște - Argeș Pitești	2:2

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