Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 8


	Chonburi		Chiangmai United

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.1	6.4
	1.48	4.1	5.93	Watch
	1.44	3.7	6
	1.41	4.1	6.86
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.7)	4.02 ↑ (3.5)	6.32 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
63.1%

Draw
22.6%

Chiangmai United
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chonburi's performance.

Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chiangmai United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chonburi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiangmai United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Chonburi - Chiangmai United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chonburi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chiangmai United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hooi E. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Kraisorn A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Veerachart C. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Derley ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 4 - 1, Promsrikaew C. ⚽,
77', 5 - 1, Derley ⚽,
84', 5 - 2, Munsuwan N. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 2
12.01.25	Samut Prakan City - Chonburi	Canceled ✺
05.01.25	Chonburi - Kanchanaburi	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Pattaya United - Chonburi	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Chonburi - Chanthaburi	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Police Tero - Chonburi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?WWLW
- Chiangmai United
Thai League 2
11.01.25	Chiangmai United - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Bangkok FC - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Chiangmai United - Lampang	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Chiangmai United - Pattaya United	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Ayutthaya United - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
01.09.24	Chiangmai United - Chonburi	1:2
Thai League 1
04.03.22	Chiangmai United - Chonburi	1:1
Thai FA Cup
24.11.21	Chiangmai United - Chonburi	2:1
Thai League 1
23.10.21	Chonburi - Chiangmai United	1:1

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