Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.05	6.7
	1.43	3.99	6.18
	1.35	4.37	8.7	Watch
	1.4	3.6	7
	1.5	3.96	6.52
	1.3	4.2	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)	7.23 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
64.8%

Draw
22.6%

Probiy Horodenka
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21.1%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

20.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Chornomorets Odesa - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 69. Avagymyan A. 13. Faraseyenko V. 94. Gryshkevych D. 24. Jarju M. 7. Khoma A. 21. Klymenko V. 5. Kurko V. 11. Popov K. 6. Sklyar O. (C) 3. Yermakov V.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. 31. Borysevych R. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 9. Kalyn V. 15. Kharuk R. 17. Khromey M. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V.
Substitutes
77. Gerych V. 14. Kapliyenko O. 9. Khoblenko O. 17. Kogut I. 19. Kogut M. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M. 10. Kulach V. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	90. Babanin V. 12. Barabanov V. (G) 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 6. Ivanychuk V. 7. Sikach M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Guk I. 🟨,
39', Kharuk R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Khoma A. ↓, Khoblenko O. ↑,
64', Faraseyenko V. ↓, Kulach V. ↑,
66', Khromey M. ↓, Ivanychuk V. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Gerych V. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).

Chornomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Probiy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Chornomorets is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Chornomorets will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chornomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chornomorets Odesa - UCSA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTW
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - UCSA	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Nyva Ternopil - Probiy Horodenka	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2

Upcoming Matches