Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 6

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: United Sports Centre (Christchurch)


	Christchurch United		Auckland City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.42	3.57	2.61	Watch
	2.14	3.58	2.84
	2.2	3.66	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.55)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	2.72 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christchurch United
41.2%

Draw
25.3%

Auckland City
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

24.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

23.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christchurch United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christchurch United's performance.

Auckland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auckland City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christchurch United than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christchurch United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Christchurch United - Auckland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 5)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Christchurch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Christchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christchurch United
New Zealand National League
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Christchurch United - Miramar Rangers	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	Auckland United - Christchurch United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWW
- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
25.10.25	Auckland City - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Auckland City - Western Suburbs	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Birkenhead United - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
14.09.25	Pyramids - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
18.11.23	Auckland City - Christchurch United	2:3
11.11.22	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:3

Christchurch United - Auckland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide