Match Info

ChNL - Round 3

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Arnosta Kostala (Pardubice)

Referee: Glogar L. (Cze)


	Chrudim		Viktoria Žižkov

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.25
	3.6	3.4	1.82	Watch
	2.68	3.3	2.28
	3.78	3.55	1.84
	6.84	4.51	1.41	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.88
	2.78	3.28	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.2)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	2.11 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrudim
27.3%

Draw
27.2%

Viktoria Žižkov
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrudim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chrudim's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Žižkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Žižkov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrudim than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chrudim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Žižkov than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Žižkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chrudim will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Viktoria Žižkov will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Žižkov: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Chrudim (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Viktoria Žižkov (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Viktoria Žižkov (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Viktoria Žižkov (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Viktoria Žižkov (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Chrudim (votes: 3 - 20%). Viktoria Žižkov (votes: 12 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richter A. (G) 10. Bauer D. 9. Cerny P. 22. Hybl M. 11. Jurcenko D. 7. Kejr M. 27. Kozojed J. 4. Reznicek J. (C) 3. Shejbal J. 19. Skwarczek M. 25. Toml M.	27. Sirotnik J. (G) 18. Batioja A. 19. Brandner P. 17. Fisl D. 8. Jirasek M. (C) 22. Klusak D. 23. Novy M. 14. Petrak A. 12. Prosek V. 2. Richter M. 11. Toula A.
Substitutes
15. Boguaj D. 16. Ciz L. (G) 17. Holub D. 6. Jambor D. 8. Judas K. 2. Kubat D. 24. Liska T. 59. Tlusty J. (G) 26. Urbanec J. 12. Wehowsky P.	9. Biegon E. 10. Gembicky D. 26. Janovsky V. 1. Jovanoski S. (G) 16. Kudela O. 5. Patka V. 7. Reiter R. 20. Strnad M.
Coaches
Papousek P.	Tichai J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Petrak A. ⚽, Batioja A. (A),
45+1', Bauer D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Shejbal J. ⚽, Skwarczek M. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Shejbal J. ⚽, Kejr M. (A),
64', Toula A. ↓, Biegon E. ↑,
64', Prosek V. ↓, Reiter R. ↑,
66', Fisl D. 🟥,
67', Jirasek M. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Jurcenko D. ⚽,
70', Jirasek M. ↓, Kudela O. ↑,
75', Cerny P. ↓, Jambor D. ↑,
79', Batioja A. ↓, Strnad M. ↑,
79', Brandner P. ↓, Patka V. ↑,
80', Kejr M. ↓, Holub D. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Petrak A. ⚽,
87', Patka V. 🟨,
88', Richter A. 🟨,
90', Bauer D. ↓, Judas K. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chrudim won 1.

Recent form of Chrudim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Viktoria Žižkov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Viktoria Žižkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chrudim has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chrudim won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chrudim won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Chrudim
Czech Division 2
25.07.25	Prostějov - Chrudim	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Chrudim - Unie Hlubina	2:4 ✺
04.07.25	Opava - Chrudim	3:2 ✺
27.06.25	Slovan Liberec - Chrudim	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Jablonec - Chrudim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL
- Viktoria Žižkov
Czech Division 2
27.07.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Příbram	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Viktoria Žižkov	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Jablonec - Viktoria Žižkov	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Příbram	1:4 ✺
02.07.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Táborsko	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
04.05.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Chrudim	1:2
Czech Tipsport Liga
25.01.25	Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov	0:2
Czech Division 2
05.10.24	Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov	1:5
21.04.24	Viktoria Žižkov - Chrudim	3:1
23.09.23	Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov	2:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov	1:0
04.02.23	Chrudim - Viktoria Žižkov	0:3

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