Match Info

National - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	FIFA+


	Châteauroux		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	3
	2.37	3.15	3.36
	2.15	3.19	3.18	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3
	2.19	3.04	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
40.8%

Draw
30.1%

Paris 13 Atletico
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Paris 13 Atletico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paris 13 Atletico will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 6. Kelo G. 17. Magassa B. 28. Mopila S. 7. Ahmed A. 8. Dembele S. 10. Freitas R. 39. Beneddine M. 5. Wade P. 19. Piquionne L. 13. Jean C.	1. Sanou G. (G) 4. Barry A. 17. Sidibe O. 12. Cisse C. 6. Diarra M. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 22. Dadoune O. 24. Bernardino N. 29. Donat N. 27. Castro T. 25. Poha J.
Substitutes
20. Bouaoune I. 27. Boussaid W. 12. Koembo J. 9. Mupemba N. 14. Verdier Y.	20. Dabo M. 26. Gakpa M. 11. Lasme Y. 21. Mpembele Boula E. 15. Raillot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Mopila S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Sanou G. 🟨,
56', Cisse C. 🟨,
66', Ahmed A. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
66', Freitas R. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
66', Piquionne L. ↓, Mupemba N. ↑,
71', Jean C. ↓, Boussaid W. ↑,
77', Castro T. ↓, Raillot L. ↑,
77', Dadoune O. ↓, Lasme Y. ↑,
82', Wade P. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
85', Diarra M. ↓, Gakpa M. ↑,
85', Donat N. ↓, Mpembele Boula E. ↑,
90+2', Cisse C. ↓, Dabo M. ↑,
90+3', Koembo J. 🟨,
90+5', Kelo G. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Lasme Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Châteauroux will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
13.02.26	Châteauroux - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Orleans - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Châteauroux - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sochaux - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTL
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
20.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Dijon	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Fleury 91 - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Versailles	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	1:1
28.03.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	3:2
01.11.24	Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1
26.05.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	2:3
12.08.22	Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0

Châteauroux - Paris 13 Atletico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide