Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ciervos		Avispones de Chilpancingo

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.26
	7.87	5.14	1.26
	7.87	5.14	1.26
	7	5	1.3
	8.7	5.55	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.89 ↑ (6.25)	5.22 ↑ (4.64)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciervos
11.4%

Draw
17.3%

Avispones de Chilpancingo
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.5%

19.5%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.2%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciervos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Avispones de Chilpancingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avispones de Chilpancingo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciervos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avispones de Chilpancingo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Play Offs: )).

Ciervos has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chilpancingo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chilpancingo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chilpancingo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ciervos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciervos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ciervos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
03.11.23	Poza Rica - Ciervos	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ciervos - Huracanes Izcalli	1:4 ✺
21.10.23	CDM - Ciervos	5:0 ✺
14.10.23	Ciervos - Deportivo Zitácuaro	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Chilangos - Ciervos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- Avispones de Chilpancingo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
04.11.23	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Ayense	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	Santiago - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Artesanos Metepec	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Caja Oblatos - Avispones de Chilpancingo	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Pachuca 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
17.09.22	Ciervos - Avispones de Chilpancingo	1:3

Ciervos - Avispones de Chilpancingo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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