Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Cinfães		Barreirense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.56	3.72	5.63
	1.56	3.72	5.58	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.56	3.78	5.79
	1.61	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.25)	3.7 ↑ (3.23)	5.36 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cinfães
58.3%

Draw
24.7%

Barreirense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cinfães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cinfães's performance.

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cinfães that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barreirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cinfães - Barreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
106', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Cinfães is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barreirense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cinfães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cinfães will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.09.24	Cinfães - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Cinfães - Resende	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.09.24	Salgueiros 08 - Cinfães	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Cinfães - União Lamas	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Gondomar - Cinfães	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTW
- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.24	Louletano - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Barreirense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Comércio e Indústria - Barreirense	4:1 ✺
18.08.24	Barreirense - Moura	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Atlético CP - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLL

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