Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Cirbonero		Oberena

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	4.05
	1.68	3.41	4.71
	1.86	3.26	4.15
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.6	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	4.61 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cirbonero
52.2%

Draw
28%

Oberena
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cirbonero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Oberena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cirbonero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cirbonero - Oberena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cirbonero (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

Recent form of Cirbonero has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Oberena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cirbonero is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cirbonero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cirbonero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
06.12.25	Izarra - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Cirbonero - Bidezarra	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Txantrea - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cirbonero - Pamplona	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Artajonés - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTTT
- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
06.12.25	Oberena - Artajonés	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Subiza - Oberena	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Oberena - San Juan	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Beti Onak - Oberena	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Oberena - Avance Ezcabarte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.02.24	Cirbonero - Oberena	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.10.17	Oberena - Cirbonero	1:2

Cirbonero - Oberena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide