Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 7

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Cittadella Vis Modena		Forlì

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.84	3.25	2.17
	2.96	3.37	2.21	Watch
	2.94	3.24	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.28)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.2 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella Vis Modena
31.3%

Draw
27.6%

Forlì
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella Vis Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella Vis Modena's form might have worsened.

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella Vis Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cittadella Vis Modena - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Guidone M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Saporetti L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Okitokandjo S. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Guidone M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cittadella Vis Modena
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.24	Corticella - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:4 ✺
13.10.24	Zenith Prato - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - San Marino Calcio	3:4 ✺
29.09.24	United Riccione - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWW
- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.10.24	Progresso - Forlì	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Forlì - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Forlì - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tau Altopascio - Forlì	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Forlì - Corticella	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWLW

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