The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittanovese 32.8%
Draw 29.1%
Città di SantAgata 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.1%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
29.1%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Città di SantAgata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).
Cittanovese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Città di Sant'Agata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Città di Sant'Agata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Città di Sant'Agata have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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