Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Cittanovese		FC Messina

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	4	3.15	1.84
	4.07	3.21	1.83
	4.2	3	1.85
	3.86	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.82)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
22.9%

Draw
28.2%

FC Messina
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

18.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

FC Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittanovese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Messina than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Messina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

Recent matches Cittanovese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

FC Messina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FC Messina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match FC Messina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.04.21	Acireale - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
07.04.21	San Luca - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
01.04.21	Cittanovese - Rotonda	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Cittanovese - Biancavilla	3:2 ✺
24.03.21	Dattilo - Cittanovese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWW
- FC Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.04.21	FC Messina - Città di SantAgata	5:1 ✺
01.04.21	Marina di Ragusa - FC Messina	3:3 ✺
28.03.21	FC Messina - Rende	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	ACR Messina - FC Messina	1:0
14.03.21	FC Messina - Licata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.12.20	FC Messina - Cittanovese	3:1
15.12.19	Cittanovese - FC Messina	2:1
31.03.19	Cittanovese - FC Messina	2:1
25.11.18	FC Messina - Cittanovese	1:0

Cittanovese - FC Messina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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