Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 11

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Città di Castello		Pianese

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.89	3.25	1.83
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.94	3.38	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.26)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	1.85 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Castello
24.1%

Draw
27.3%

Pianese
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Castello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Città di Castello is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pianese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pianese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pianese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Castello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Città di Castello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.11.22	Poggibonsi - Città di Castello	5:0 ✺
29.10.22	Città di Castello - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Tau Altopascio - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Città di Castello - Livorno	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Ostia Mare - Città di Castello	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.11.22	Pianese - Ponsacco	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Pianese	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Pianese - Seravezza Pozzi	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Pianese	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Pianese - Terranuova Traiana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
06.03.16	Città di Castello - Pianese	2:2

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