Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Città di SantAgata		Cavese

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.4	2.95	2.1
	3.65	2.8	2
	3.34	2.81	2.01
	3.64	2.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.7)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di SantAgata
25.6%

Draw
31.2%

Cavese
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di SantAgata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di SantAgata's form might have worsened.

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Città di SantAgata - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Città di Sant'Agata is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cavese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cavese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cavese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Città di SantAgata
Italian Serie D - Group I
12.12.21	Real Agro Aversa - Città di SantAgata	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Città di SantAgata - Paternò	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Portici - Città di SantAgata	3:0 ✺
28.11.21	Città di SantAgata - Lamezia Terme	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	San Luca - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group I
12.12.21	Paternò - Cavese	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Cavese - FC Messina	Cavese awarded ✺
05.12.21	Lamezia Terme - Cavese	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Cavese - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Gelbison Cilento - Cavese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 L?TWL

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