Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group I - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Città di SantAgata		Licata

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.9	4.6
	1.54	3.94	4.84
	1.58	4.08	4.8
	1.54	4	5
	1.7	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.02)	3.91 ↑ (3.25)	4.69 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di SantAgata
57.3%

Draw
23.3%

Licata
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di SantAgata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Città di SantAgata's performance.

Licata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Licata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Città di SantAgata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Licata than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Licata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Città di SantAgata - Licata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Abbate D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Pino S. S. 🟥,
85', 1 - 1, Minacori C. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Città di SantAgata won 2.

Città di SantAgata is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Licata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Licata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Licata have a series of home games.

In this match Città di SantAgata is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Città di SantAgata won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Città di SantAgata won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Città di SantAgata
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.02.25	Città di SantAgata - Acireale	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Enna - Città di SantAgata	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Città di SantAgata - Siracusa	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Reggina - Città di SantAgata	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLL
- ASD Licata 1931
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.25	Licata - Reggina	0:4 ✺
02.02.25	Licata - Ragusa	1:4 ✺
19.01.25	Licata - Scafatese	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Locri - Licata	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	Licata - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.10.24	Licata - Città di SantAgata	2:0
07.04.24	Città di SantAgata - Licata	3:0
26.11.23	Licata - Città di SantAgata	1:1
19.02.23	Città di SantAgata - Licata	3:0
19.10.22	Licata - Città di SantAgata	3:2
13.03.22	Licata - Città di SantAgata	0:2
31.10.21	Città di SantAgata - Licata	1:1

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