Match Info
Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 12Date: 4 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio La Esmeralda Cancha Sintetica (Lagos de Moreno)
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 |
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Club León U21 |
|
Toluca U21 |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.3 |
2.66 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.3 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.4) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
2.66 ↑
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Club León U21
37.3% | Draw
28% | Toluca U21
34.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Club León U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Toluca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León U21 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Club León U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).León U21 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Toluca U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Toluca U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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