The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club León 34.9%
Draw 26.1%
Juárez 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
27%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
27.4%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Club León - Juárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 22. Cortes S. 21. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 6. Razo V. 15. Soto K. 27. Aleman I. 12. Lien Le C. 2. Garcia M. 9. Bolanos V.
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. (C) 24. Galvez Luna R. 22. Mora Bianca 3. Granados N. 6. Murillo A. 11. Martin D. 19. Caicedo F. 18. Kaci A. 9. Herrera Monge M. 13. Solorzano A.
Substitutes
11. Arteaga S. 33. Barrientos Y. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 7. De La Rosa J. 30. Esquivias I. 20. Garcia L. 5. Gutierrez D. 29. Jasso K. 10. Lemos S. 4. Lozada A.
29. Blanco A. 4. Castillo M. 16. Espinoza G. 12. Holguin C. (G) 5. Lopez Y. 8. Mercado L. 7. Palafox N. 17. Peraza C. 23. Solis B. 10. Zuazua M.
Coaches
Corona A.
Fernandez Novillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Martin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Granados N. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Solorzano A. ⚽,
54', Galvez Luna R. 🟨,
55', Bolanos V. 🟨,
55', Soto K. ↓, Arteaga S. ↑,
55', Garcia M. ↓, Lemos S. ↑,
56', Martin D. ↓, Mercado L. ↑,
65', Caicedo F. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
65', Herrera Monge M. ↓, Palafox N. ↑,
68', Lien Le C. ↓, De La Rosa J. ↑,
68', Razo V. ↓, Jasso K. ↑,
72', Kaci A. 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Solorzano A. ⚽,
83', Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↓, Barrientos Y. ↑,
86', Solorzano A. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
86', Abud K. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 2.
In recent outings, León has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Juárez is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Juárez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, León has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:17 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for León against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).