The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Luján 56.9%
Draw 27%
Deportivo Muñiz 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
30.8%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
29%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Luján's performance.
Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Muñiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Luján that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Muñiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Club Luján - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Abad A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Dopazo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Ramos E. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: ) and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Club Luján is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Muñiz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Club Luján may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Club Luján has had a series of away games.
In this match, Club Luján is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Club Luján won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
Including home match between the teams, Club Luján won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.