Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mkwakwani Stadium (Tanga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1


	Coastal Union		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	2.09	2.76	4.09
	2.05	2.86	3.97	Watch
	2.05	2.74	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.96 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coastal Union
44.6%

Draw
32.4%

Kagera Sugar
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

30.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

29.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coastal Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coastal Union's form might have worsened.

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Union than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coastal Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Semfuko D. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coastal Union won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kagera Sugar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coastal Union will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Coastal Union won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Coastal Union won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
26.10.24	Coastal Union - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Coastal Union - Dodoma Jiji	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Simba - Coastal Union	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Coastal Union - Pamba	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	JKT Tanzania - Coastal Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWTWL
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
20.10.24	Pamba - Kagera Sugar	1:1 ✺
03.10.24	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Singida Fountain Gate - Kagera Sugar	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Kagera Sugar - KenGold	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
09.12.23	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	1:0
21.01.23	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0
03.10.22	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	2:0
25.06.22	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	0:1
05.02.22	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1
18.07.21	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	3:1
15.07.20	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	1:0

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