Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Coburg		Neumarkt

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.61	3.51	2.46
	2.61	3.51	2.47
	2.44	3.62	2.38
	2.45	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coburg
36.5%

Draw
26%

Neumarkt
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Neumarkt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neumarkt than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Coburg - Neumarkt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
19', 0 - 1, Marx J. (Pen),
24', 0 - 2, Mjaki S. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Mjaki S. ⚽,
41', 0 - 4, Mjaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 0 - 5, Schrodl C. ⚽,
82', 0 - 6, Schrodl C. ⚽,
85', 0 - 7, Schrodl C. ⚽,
88', 1 - 7, Civelek A. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Recent matches Coburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neumarkt is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Coburg have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Coburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
23.03.24	Abtswind - Coburg	3:1 ✺
05.03.24	Feucht - Coburg	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bayern Hof - Coburg	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Coburg - Fortuna Regensburg	3:3 ✺
17.02.24	Eltersdorf - Coburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTT
- ASV Neumarkt
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.03.24	Würzburger FV - Neumarkt	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bayern Hof - Neumarkt	3:2 ✺
09.03.24	Neumarkt - Fortuna Regensburg	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	Feucht - Neumarkt	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Neumarkt - DJK Ammerthal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
09.09.23	Neumarkt - Coburg	4:2

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