Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Coburg		Weiden

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.9	2.12
	2.57	4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	3.95 ↓ (4)	2.12 (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coburg
34.7%

Draw
22.8%

Weiden
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

22.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

22.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Weiden have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 13 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Coburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Weiden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Coburg has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Coburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
19.10.25	Ingolstadt II - Coburg	7:1 ✺
03.10.25	Neudrossenfeld - Coburg	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kornburg - Coburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Coburg - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Gebenbach - Coburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- SpVgg SV Weiden
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
17.10.25	Weiden - Kornburg	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Eltersdorf - Weiden	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Weiden - Gebenbach	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Cham - Weiden	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Weiden - Würzburger FV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTTW

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