Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 17

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Colegiales		Martín Ledesma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.47	3.28	1.95
	3.41	3.39	2
	3.54	3.3	1.96
	3.2	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.73)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)	1.98 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
27.2%

Draw
27%

Martín Ledesma
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colegiales's form might have worsened.

Martín Ledesma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martín Ledesma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colegiales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martín Ledesma than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martín Ledesma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colegiales - Martín Ledesma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).

Colegiales is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Martín Ledesma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colegiales could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales Paraguay
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.07.24	Encarnación - Colegiales	5:1 ✺
08.07.24	3 de Febrero - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
01.07.24	Colegiales - Fernando de la Mora	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Colegiales - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:3 ✺
28.05.24	Colegiales - Deportivo Santaní	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLT
- Club Martín Ledesma
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.07.24	Martín Ledesma - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Martín Ledesma - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Resistencia - Martín Ledesma	1:2 ✺
21.06.24	Martín Ledesma - Rubio Ñu	4:4 ✺
16.06.24	Deportivo Santaní - Martín Ledesma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.08.23	Martín Ledesma - Colegiales	0:0
05.05.23	Colegiales - Martín Ledesma	0:3
16.09.22	Colegiales - Martín Ledesma	0:1

Colegiales - Martín Ledesma