Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Collerense		Felanitx

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.82
	2.79	2.58	2.98	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.4	2.9	2.94
	2.42	3.25	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.42)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)	2.86 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collerense
36.6%

Draw
31.6%

Felanitx
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Felanitx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Collerense - Felanitx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 1.

Collerense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Felanitx has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Collerense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Collerense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Portmany - Collerense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Collerense - Rotlet Molinar	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Collerense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Santanyí - Collerense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TTLTT
- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Santanyí - Felanitx	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Felanitx - Son Cladera	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Felanitx - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.05.25	Felanitx - Collerense	0:0
11.01.25	Collerense - Felanitx	0:0
10.02.24	Collerense - Felanitx	4:2
26.03.22	Collerense - Felanitx	2:2
27.11.21	Felanitx - Collerense	3:0
28.11.20	Felanitx - Collerense	2:2

Collerense - Felanitx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide