Match Info

Elite One - Round 21

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Colombe Lobo		Union Douala

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.1	6
	1.58	3.27	5.98
	1.61	3.29	6.16
	1.63	3.13	6.06
	1.64	3.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.77)	6.04 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombe Lobo
56.2%

Draw
28.7%

Union Douala
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

24.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombe Lobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colombe Lobo's form might have worsened.

Union Douala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colombe Lobo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colombe Lobo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Douala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Colombe Lobo - Union Douala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colombe won 2.

Colombe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union Douala is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Colombe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colombe is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Colombe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Colombe won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombe Lobo
Cameroon Elite One
23.04.25	Stade Renard de Melong - Colombe Lobo	Colombe awarded ✺
13.04.25	Aigle Moungo - Colombe Lobo	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Dynamo Douala - Colombe Lobo	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Colombe Lobo - Gazelle	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Colombe Lobo - Coton Sport de Garoua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WWTW
- Union Douala
Cameroon Elite One
24.04.25	Union Douala - Fortuna Mfou	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Gazelle - Union Douala	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Yong Sports Academy - Union Douala	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Union Douala - Aigle Moungo	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Les Astres - Union Douala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Cameroon Elite One
05.01.25	Union Douala - Colombe Lobo	0:1
13.12.23	Union Douala - Colombe Lobo	1:2
09.10.23	Colombe Lobo - Union Douala	1:1
21.05.22	Colombe Lobo - Union Douala	0:1
22.12.19	Colombe Lobo - Union Douala	1:1
07.04.19	Union Douala - Colombe Lobo	3:0
17.02.19	Colombe Lobo - Union Douala	0:2

Colombe Lobo - Union Douala