Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: OLYMPIC GAMES - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 5

Date: 1 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	DirecTV


	Colombia U23		Bolivia U23

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.6
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.82
	1.69	3.71	4.78
	1.64	3.84	5.12	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	4.75 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombia U23
55.6%

Draw
25%

Bolivia U23
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

18.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bolivia U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia U23 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colombia U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolivia U23 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolivia U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Colombia U23 - Bolivia U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Colombia U23 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marquinez L. (G) 6. Mosquera J. 14. Alarcon A. 4. Alvarez F. 5. Fory J. 15. Palacio N. 18. Torres J. 8. Palacios Alzate B. 16. Quinones N. 17. Perea O. 9. Cortes C.	1. Poveda B. (G) 20. Justiniano L. 2. Quinteros J. 4. Duran D. 3. Medina D. 13. Vaca P. 15. Villamil G. 17. Velasquez J. 7. Villarroel M. 9. Briceno J. 19. Chura J.
Substitutes
13. Castilla J. 23. Escobar J. 7. Garcia Castillo A. 1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 12. Rodriguez A. (G) 19. Tanton D. 21. Velasquez S.	12. Adorno C. (G) 6. Alvarez E. 10. Chavez Cruz L. L. 22. Lino D. 18. Nava F. 14. Rocha Y. 23. Sandy D. (G) 8. Sejas C. 11. Uzeda J.

Preview

Recent matches Colombia U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolivia U23 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Colombia U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colombia U23 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia U23
Olympic Games - Football
29.01.24	Colombia U23 - Venezuela U23	0:1 ✺
26.01.24	Brazil U23 - Colombia U23	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Ecuador U23 - Colombia U23	3:0 ✺
Friendly
12.01.24	Colombia U23 - Dominican Republic U23	5:0 ✺
12.12.23	Colombia U23 - Peru U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Bolivia U23
Olympic Games - Football
26.01.24	Bolivia U23 - Ecuador U23	0:2 ✺
23.01.24	Bolivia U23 - Brazil U23	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Venezuela U23 - Bolivia U23	3:3 ✺
Friendly
22.12.23	Peru U23 - Bolivia U23	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Peru U23 - Bolivia U23	4:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTTL

Colombia U23 - Bolivia U23