Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday


	Comercial MS		Aquidauanense

	1	X	2
	1.19	5	14
	1.17	5	18
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.29	4.85	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.69)	4.71 ↑ (3.56)	12.48 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial MS
73.3%

Draw
19.4%

Aquidauanense
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comercial MS's performance.

Aquidauanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aquidauanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial MS than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comercial MS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aquidauanense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aquidauanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Comercial MS - Aquidauanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Event will be played on 6.5. 21:00.

Comercial MS is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aquidauanense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Comercial MS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comercial MS is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Comercial MS to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comercial MS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial MS
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
29.04.21	Comercial MS - União ABC	4:1 ✺
25.04.21	Comercial MS - Operário MS	0:0 ✺
21.04.21	Dourados - Comercial MS	0:1 ✺
14.04.21	Costa Rica - Comercial MS	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	União ABC - Comercial MS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWTW
- Aquidauanense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
01.05.21	Aquidauanense - Operário MS	0:2 ✺
24.04.21	União ABC - Aquidauanense	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Aquidauanense - Dourados	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Operário MS - Aquidauanense	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Aquidauanense - Novoperário	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
16.12.20	Aquidauanense - Comercial MS	3:2

Comercial MS - Aquidauanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide