Match Info

Sul-Matogrossense 2 - Round 4

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Comercial MS		União ABC

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.29	10.08	Watch
	1.78	3.61	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	3.95 ↑ (3.62)	7.1 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial MS
62%

Draw
24.4%

União ABC
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comercial MS's performance.

União ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União ABC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Comercial MS - União ABC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

In this match, Comercial MS is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comercial MS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Comercial MS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Comercial MS	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10
4	Uniao	6	2	3	1	6:2	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial MS
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
19.03.23	Operário MS - Comercial MS	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Comercial MS - Costa Rica	2:2 ✺
02.03.23	Comercial MS - Chapadão	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Chapadão - Comercial MS	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Costa Rica - Comercial MS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLLL
- União ABC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
13.03.22	Costa Rica - União ABC	4:0 ✺
05.03.22	União ABC - Chapadão	1:3 ✺
02.03.22	Operário MS - União ABC	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	União ABC - Comercial MS	1:3 ✺
16.02.22	União ABC - Costa Rica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
19.02.22	União ABC - Comercial MS	1:3
02.02.22	Comercial MS - União ABC	0:1
29.04.21	Comercial MS - União ABC	4:1
11.04.21	União ABC - Comercial MS	0:1
28.02.21	Comercial MS - União ABC	1:1

Comercial MS - União ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide