Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Comercial SP		Catanduva

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.75	2.37
	2.95	2.8	2.45
	3.01	2.89	2.44	Watch
	3	2.6	2.6
	3.18	3.07	2.33
	2.95	2.8	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.49)	2.82 ↓ (2.96)	2.44 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
30.3%

Draw
32.3%

Catanduva
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comercial SP's form might have worsened.

Catanduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comercial SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanduva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Comercial SP - Catanduva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comercial SP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Catanduva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Macena (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, Macena (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Comercial SP has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Catanduva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Catanduva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Comercial SP - União São João	1:3 ✺
29.01.25	Rio Preto - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Marília - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Comercial SP - União Suzano	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Lemense FC - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Catanduva - União Suzano	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Catanduva - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Catanduva - Bandeirante	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Rio Preto - Catanduva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Comercial SP - Catanduva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide