Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday
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Compostela |
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Sestao |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.20 |
2.95 |
2.95 |
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2.33 |
2.80 |
3.00 |
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2.45 |
2.88 |
3.12 |
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2.26 |
3.02 |
3.18 |
Watch |
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2.40 |
2.80 |
3.05 |
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2.34 |
3.20 |
3.20 |
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2.23 |
2.95 |
3.00 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.85) |
2.94 ↑ (2.88) |
3.07 ↑ (2.42) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Compostela 39.4% | Draw 31% | Sestao 29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Compostela - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 0, Peon U. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Guisande A. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Compostela has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).Sestao is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).Sestao may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.Recently, Compostela has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.Recently, Sestao has had a run of games away from home. In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Compostela has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Sestao | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
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| 13 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;