Match Info

V.League 1 - Round 22

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hang Day Stadium (Hanoi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Vietnam	FPT Play, HTV Thể Thao, TV 360, VTV 7


	Cong An Ha Noi		Nam Định

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.45	5.5
	1.39	5.19	7.46
	1.41	5.07	6.1	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.4
	1.41	4.59	7.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.86)	4.6 ↑ (3.87)	6.11 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cong An Ha Noi
64.4%

Draw
20.3%

Nam Định
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cong An Ha Noi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cong An Ha Noi's performance.

Nam Định has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nam Định might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Ha Noi than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cong An Ha Noi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nam Định than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nam Định could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cong An Ha Noi - Nam Định Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cong An will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nguyen F. (G) 38. Adou L. 72. Alan Grafite 68. Bui Hoang Viet Anh 5. Doan Van Hau 10. Leo Artur 11. Le Pham Thanh Long (C) 88. Le Van Do 6. Mauk S. 9. Nguyen Dinh Bac 7. Pendant J.	82. Tran L. D. (G) 5. Dang Van Toi 98. Giap Tuan Duong 88. Ly Cong Hoang Anh 7. Nguyen Phong Hong Duy 11. Nguyen Tuan Anh 93. Pham Ba K. 72. Romulo 28. To Van Vu (C) 27. Tran N. S. 19. Tran Van Dat
Substitutes
15. Bui Xuan Thinh 30. China 26. Ha Van Phuong 12. Hoang Van Toan 28. Nguyen Van Duc 22. Pham Minh Phuc 20. Phan Van Duc 21. Tran Dinh Trong 23. Vu Thanh Vinh (G)	77. Akolo C. 6. A Mit 10. Caio Cesar 4. Lucas 9. Nguyen Van Toan 17. Nguyen Van Vi 14. Rafaelson 26. Tran Nguyen Manh (G) 13. Tran V. K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Nguyen Dinh Bac ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Tran N. S. ⚽,
19', Alan Grafite 🟨,
21', 🟨,
28', 1 - 2, Tran Van Dat ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 🟨,
53', 2 - 2, Bui Hoang Viet Anh ⚽,
66', 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Nguyen Dinh Bac (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cong An won 3.

Cong An has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nam Định has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cong An may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cong An is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cong An will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cong An won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cong An won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cong An Ha Noi	3	3	0	0	6:0	6	9
5	Nam Dinh	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cong An Ha Noi - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cong An Ha Noi FC
Vietnamese V League 1
02.05.26	Hai Phong - Cong An Ha Noi	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cong An Ha Noi - Song Lam Nghe An	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	PVF-CAND - Cong An Ha Noi	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cong An Ha Noi - Đà Nẵng	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTW
- Nam Định FC
ASEAN Club Championship
06.05.26	Selangor FA - Nam Định	2:1 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
01.05.26	Nam Định - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Binh Duong - Nam Định	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Đà Nẵng - Nam Định	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nam Định - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
28.09.25	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	0:2
Vietnamese Super Cup
09.08.25	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	2:3
Vietnamese V League 1
08.03.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Nam Định	1:1
28.10.24	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3
04.05.24	Cong An Ha Noi - Nam Định	2:3
Club Friendly
06.02.24	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	3:4
Vietnamese V League 1
09.12.23	Nam Định - Cong An Ha Noi	2:2

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