The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City 37.5%
Draw 29.4%
Viettel 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.7%
29%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
27.7%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City's performance.
Viettel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viettel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viettel than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viettel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Viettel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
89. Le Giang P. (G) 10. Aldair 5. Dinh Quang Kiet 13. Khong Minh Gia 12. Leo Gomes 34. Le Quang Hung 17. Minh Trong Vo 39. Nguyen Duc Phu 19. Nguyen Thai Q. C. 22. Nguyen Tien Linh 7. Olaha M.
28. Nguyen Van Viet (G) 2. Colonna K. 18. Dinh Viet Tu 11. Khuat Van Khang 15. Lucas 17. Nguyen Duc Hoang Minh 88. Nguyen V. t. 14. Paulinho Curua 12. Phan T. T. (C) 9. Ribamar 97. Trieu Viet Hung
Substitutes
9. Cummings J. . Hoang W. 8. Narvaez J. 26. Ngo D. K. 27. Nguyen Nhat Minh 11. Nguyen Phi Hoang 32. Phan Van Bieu (G) 28. Tran H. P. 2. Tran L. M.
1. Caruso L. (G) 20. Dao Van Nam 19. Dinh X. T. 10. Hernades 8. Huu Thang N. 89. Le Quoc Nhat Nam 16. Pham Trung Hieu 6. Tran Danh Trung 7. Wesley Nata
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Nguyen Duc Hoang Minh 🟨,
35', Leo Gomes 🟨,
45+1', Phan T. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nguyen Duc Hoang Minh ↓, Tran Danh Trung ↑,
61', Trieu Viet Hung ↓, Hernades ↑,
62', Nguyen Tien Linh ↓, Hoang W. ↑,
62', Leo Gomes ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
62', Aldair ↓, Cummings J. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Olaha M. ⚽,
73', Nguyen V. t. ↓, Nham M. D. ↑,
73', Khuat Van Khang ↓, Huu Thang N. ↑,
77', Nguyen Duc Phu 🟥,
85', Minh Trong Vo ↓, Nguyen Nhat Minh ↑,
85', Le Quang Hung ↓, Tran H. P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cong An won 0.
In recent outings, Cong An has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Viettel has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cong An could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Cong An has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Cong An has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cong An against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1:0.4 per game).