Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Constancia		Binissalem

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.83	7.71
	1.61	3.44	5.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.41)	3.64 ↓ (3.84)	6.8 ↓ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
60.8%

Draw
25.5%

Binissalem
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.6%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Binissalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2.

Recent performances by Constancia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Binissalem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Binissalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Constancia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.10.25	Mallorca B - Constancia	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Constancia - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Constancia - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Formentera - Constancia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWT
- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.10.25	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Portmany - Binissalem	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Binissalem - Rotlet Molinar	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Collerense - Binissalem	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Binissalem - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.02.25	Binissalem - Constancia	0:1
28.09.24	Constancia - Binissalem	1:1
09.03.24	Constancia - Binissalem	2:0
22.10.23	Binissalem - Constancia	1:0
06.04.23	Constancia - Binissalem	2:2
10.12.22	Binissalem - Constancia	1:1
09.01.22	Binissalem - Constancia	0:2

Constancia - Binissalem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide