Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Constantine		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4
	1.92	3	4.25
	1.91	3.01	4.71
	4.32	3.06	1.93	Watch
	1.9	3.14	4.27
	1.86	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)	3.04 ↑ (2.82)	3.89 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constantine
42.6%

Draw
32.2%

USM Alger
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

32.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constantine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constantine than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+3%)

Constantine - USM Alger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Constantine (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Constantine (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Constantine (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouhalfaya Z. (G) 8. Baouche H. 15. Berkane M. 29. Boudrama A. 10. Dib B. 26. L'Ghoul N. 12. Meddahi O. 18. Merbah M. 11. Mouaki D. 5. Ndiaye M. 30. Tahar F.	25. Benbot O. (G) 14. Benzaza B. 18. Boukhenchouche S. 23. Chetti I. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 15. Ernest E. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Khaldi A. 20. Mahrouz R. 4. Malone Junior C.
Substitutes
2. Benadla A. 6. Benchaira M. 13. Benmoussa I. 17. Bensayah R. 7. Bouzekri M. 27. Chikhi A. 21. Grine H. 20. Khalfaoui O. 23. Necir A. (G)	24. Bouderbala M. 17. Bousseliou K. 10. Guenaoui G. 11. Likonza G. 12. Loucif H. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S. 16. Soufi K. (G) 30. Tendeng A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Draoui Z. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constantine won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Constantine is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Constantine won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Constantine won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

USM Alger - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Constantine
Algerian Ligue 1
28.09.25	Belouizdad - Constantine	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Constantine - ASO Chlef	2:2 ✺
11.09.25	ES Sétif - Constantine	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Constantine - Rouissat	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mostaganem - Constantine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
29.09.25	USM Alger - El Bayadh	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Saoura - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	USM Alger - Khenchela	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Paradou - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	USM Alger - MC Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
11.05.25	USM Alger - Constantine	2:1
CAF Confederation Cup
09.04.25	USM Alger - Constantine	1:2 penalties
02.04.25	Constantine - USM Alger	1:1
Algerian Ligue 1
21.11.24	Constantine - USM Alger	1:0
03.06.24	Constantine - USM Alger	1:1
31.01.24	USM Alger - Constantine	1:2
15.07.23	Constantine - USM Alger	3:0

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