Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Copenhagen		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	7
	1.49	4.1	5.75
	1.5	4.3	6
	1.51	4.3	6.8
	1.5	4.31	6.01	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.55	4.38	6.16
	1.5	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	4.22 ↑ (3.5)	6.09 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
62.3%

Draw
22.2%

İstanbul Başakşehir
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	2.6%	7.7%

Copenhagen - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 13. Huescas R. 5. Gabriel Pereira 2. Diks K. 15. Lopez M. 36. Clem W. 12. Lerager L. (C) 10. Elyounoussi M. 17. Froholdt V. 8. Mattsson M. 9. Onugkha G.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. (C) 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 10. Ozcan B. 4. Ergun O. 2. Ozdemir B. 11. Keny P. P. 25. Figueiredo J. 91. Davidson
Substitutes
30. Achouri E. 19. Chiakha A. 7. Claesson V. 14. Cornelius A. 4. Garananga M. 22. Gocholeishvili G. 38. Hojer O. 11. Larsson J. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G)	1. Babacan V. (G) 13. Crespo M. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 15. Gureler H. 7. Gurler S. 75. Kaplan E. 28. Karaal E. M. 14. Pelkas D. 9. Piatek K. 42. Sahiner O. 23. Turuc D.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Keceli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Diks K. 🟨,
13', Lopez M. 🟨,
17', Ba O. 🟨,
21', Onugkha G. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Keny P. P. ⚽,
45+1', Ozdemir B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Froholdt V. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
46', Huescas R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
46', Ba O. ↓, Gurler S. ↑,
55', Davidson 🟨,
61', Onugkha G. ↓, Cornelius A. ↑,
61', Davidson ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
70', Turuc D. 🟨,
71', Figueiredo J. ↓, Piatek K. ↑,
73', Clem W. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
76', Cornelius A. ↓, Chiakha A. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Chiakha A. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Piatek K. ⚽,
82', Lima L. 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Chiakha A. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
86', Ergun O. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
86', Ozcan B. ↓, Sahiner O. ↑,
90+4', Piatek K. 🟨,

Preview

Copenhagen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Başakşehir is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Copenhagen is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury) Falk R. (Knee Injury) Meling B. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Copenhagen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Copenhagen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
04.11.24	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
27.10.24	Brøndby - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Betis - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
18.10.24	Copenhagen - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTTW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
03.11.24	Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:2 ✺
28.10.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Celje - İstanbul Başakşehir	5:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.10.24	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.08.20	Copenhagen - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:0
12.03.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Copenhagen	1:0

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