Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Coria		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.5	4.95
	1.68	3.55	5.09
	1.84	3.49	3.97	Watch
	1.65	3.71	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	3.55 ↑ (3.29)	4.73 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
54.6%

Draw
26%

Colonia Moscardó
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coria's performance.

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Coria - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ramos I. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Mercadal A. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Dawda ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Coria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Coria is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.25	Conquense - Coria	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Deportivo Toledo - Coria	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Coria - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Jaraíz - Coria	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Socuéllamos - Colonia Moscardó	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colonia Moscardó - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1

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