Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Coria CF		Cartaya

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.9	3.9
	1.81	3.15	4.3
				Watch
	1.94	3.15	4.2
	1.81	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.61)	3.09 ↑ (2.78)	4.18 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria CF
48.7%

Draw
29.5%

Cartaya
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

33.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coria CF's performance.

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coria CF - Cartaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Picazzo A. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Fran Palma ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Bernal J. ⚽,

Preview

Coria CF is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cartaya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coria CF won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Coria CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.03.25	Pozoblanco - Coria CF	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Coria CF - Inter Sevilla	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Sevilla C - Coria CF	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Coria CF - Atlético Central	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Puente Genil - Coria CF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLL
- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.03.25	Cartaya - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Espeleño - Cartaya	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Cartaya - La Palma	3:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cartaya - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Inter Sevilla - Cartaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.11.24	Cartaya - Coria CF	1:1
05.05.24	Cartaya - Coria CF	3:2
23.12.23	Coria CF - Cartaya	0:2
16.04.23	Cartaya - Coria CF	0:0
11.12.22	Coria CF - Cartaya	1:1

Coria CF - Cartaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide