Match Info

Copa Libertadores Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Pluto TV


	Corinthians		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.35	5.9
	1.63	3.44	5.96
	1.00	25.00	18.47	Watch
	1.49	3.58	6.77	Watch
	1.67	3.45	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	7.76 ↑ (3.5)	8.37 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
73.3%

Draw
13.9%

Boca Juniors
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corinthians - Boca Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gabi Zanotti (Pen),
12', 2 - 0, Gabi Zanotti ⚽, Andressa Alves (A),
41', 3 - 0, Gabi Zanotti ⚽, Duda Sampaio (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 4 - 0, Jhonson ⚽, Leticia Monteiro (A),

Preview

Corinthians is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boca Juniors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Corinthians is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Women
Copa Libertadores Women
08.10.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
02.10.25	Corinthians - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
27.09.25	Taubaté - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
24.09.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
20.09.25	Corinthians - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWLW
- Boca Juniors Women
Copa Libertadores Women
08.10.25	Ferroviária - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - ADIFFEM	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera A Women
22.09.25	Boca Juniors - Social Atlético Televisión	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Women
15.10.24	Corinthians - Boca Juniors	1:0
03.10.24	Corinthians - Boca Juniors	0:0
22.10.22	Boca Juniors - Corinthians	2:1

Corinthians - Boca Juniors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide