Match Info

Brasileiro U20 B - Round 5

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Coritiba U20		Operário Ferroviario U20

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.52	4.04	5.38
	1.64	3.62	5.02	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.48	3.94	5.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	5.44 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba U20
59.4%

Draw
23.9%

Operário Ferroviario U20
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Operário Ferroviario U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba U20 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Coritiba U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

Coritiba U20 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Operário Ferro U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Operário Ferro U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coritiba U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Coritiba U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coritiba U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
09.05.26	Coritiba U20 - Galo Maringá U20	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Coritiba U20 - City London U20	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
29.04.26	Sport Recife U20 - Coritiba U20	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
25.04.26	Patriotas U20 - Coritiba U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20 B
22.04.26	Coritiba U20 - Paysandu U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW
- Operário Ferroviario U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
03.05.26	Hope Internacional U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
30.04.26	Operário Ferroviario U20 - Paysandu U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
27.04.26	Paraná Clube Curitiba U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	2:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
22.04.26	Sport Recife U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Operário Ferroviario U20 - Botafogo SP U20	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paranaense U20
06.03.26	Operário Ferroviario U20 - Coritiba U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20 B
09.04.25	Coritiba U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	2:1
Brazilian Paranaense U20
25.08.24	Coritiba U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	0:1

Coritiba U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20