Match Info

Date: 23 July 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Coritiba U23		Ceará U23

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Coritiba U23
28%

Draw
26.3%

Ceará U23
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

19.7%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ceará U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceará U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba U23 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará U23 than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceará U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).

Coritiba U23 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ceará U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba U23
Brasileiro U23
15.07.21	Figueirense U23 - Coritiba U23	3:2 ✺
08.07.21	Coritiba U23 - Juventude U23	3:0 ✺
29.06.21	Coritiba U23 - Cuiabá U23	0:0 ✺
24.06.21	Corinthians U23 - Coritiba U23	3:1 ✺
17.06.21	Gremio U23 - Coritiba U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- Ceará U23
Brasileiro U23
15.07.21	Ceará U23 - Fluminense U23	2:1 ✺
01.07.21	Bahia U23 - Ceará U23	1:0 ✺
24.06.21	Ceará U23 - Avai U23	1:2 ✺
17.06.21	Santos U23 - Ceará U23	4:1 ✺
10.06.21	Ceará U23 - Bragantino do Pará U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Coritiba U23 - Ceará U23