Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Cortes		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.15	4.05
	1.87	3.08	4.14
	1.85	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
49.1%

Draw
29%

Ardoi
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+11', 0 - 1, Gurpegui U. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 0.

Cortes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ardoi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ardoi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cortes is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.10.25	Beti Kozkor - Cortes	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Egüés - Cortes	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cortes - Huarte	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cortes - Aoiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTW
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.10.25	Ardoi - Oberena	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Ardoi - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Txantrea - Ardoi	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ardoi - Pamplona	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Cirbonero - Ardoi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
15.03.25	Ardoi - Cortes	1:1
03.11.24	Cortes - Ardoi	1:2
24.02.24	Ardoi - Cortes	1:1
07.10.23	Cortes - Ardoi	1:1
21.01.23	Ardoi - Cortes	1:0
24.09.22	Cortes - Ardoi	1:3
07.03.20	Cortes - Ardoi	0:1

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